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The PGA Tour will head to San Diego, CA for the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament will take place on two courses before heading into the weekend; the North and South course at legendary Torrey Pines Golf Course. The tournament will go from Wednesday-Saturday, rather than the normal Thursday-Sunday schedule. The 2022 tournament saw Luke List take home the trophy after defeating Will Zalatoris in a playoff. Both List (+8000) and Zalatoris (+1400) return to this years field. Other top contenders by listed odds are Jon Rahm (+450), Xander Schauffele (+1100), Tony Finau (+1100) and Colin Morikawa (+1600).
Tony Finau (+1100) – With a historic finish to last season, a solid start to the 2023 campaign and a STELLAR resume at this event – Finau is the easy selection this week to knock off Jon Rahm (if anybody can). He missed the cut last year, but prior 2022, Tony has done the following: T2 in 2021, T6 in 2020, T6 in 2018 and T4 in 2017. Finau should be in contention on Saturday.
Max Homa (+2200) – Missed the cut last year and went T18 in 2021. Did secure a Top 10 back in 2020. Homa is coming off an excellent showing in Hawaii at TOC and I think this is too good of a price to pass on. Torrey Pines requires accuracy off the tee to avoid thick rough, and Homa typically has no problem finding fairways.
Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) – I’m either going to land a huge outright on Hideki soon or I’m going to lose quite a bit of money. All but a unanimous Top 10 player in the world 18 months ago, the former Masters champion dealt with a lingering wrist injury last season. He’s back healthy, but hasn’t found a rhythm yet (no Top 20 finishes this season). 33-1 is just too good of a price to avoid.
Davis Thompson (+9500) – Ahhh… yes. If you know me, you saw this one coming. I’m fully on the Davis Thompson hype train. Obviously, he played well last week, but that’s not why. He has the “it” factor. Thompson was not “happy to be there” while battling Jon Rahm and going toe-to-toe with arguably the worlds best golfer on a Sunday. He wanted to win. Bad. Might be awhile, but I’ll be riding the Davis Thompson outright train for the forseeable future.
Top 5 Finishes
Jon Rahm (+105) – There isn’t too much to say here. Rahm looks like he’s just going to run through the field every week this season. The outright price is scary but I have zero doubts Rahm will be atop the leaderboard on Saturday.
Sungjae Im (+450) – Finished T18 after slowing down over the weekend last week at Amex. T6 finish last year at Farmers. Good price.
Top 10 Finishes
Tony Finau (+115) – For all the reasons named in the outright section, Finau Top 10 is our max play this week. History repeats itself.
Taylor Montgomery (+250) – One of the hotter and more consistent players over the last couple weeks on Tour. Montgomery secured a T12 finish in Hawaii followed by a solo 5th finish last week at Amex. The 27 year old rookie will look to continue his solid play.
Sahith Theegala (+460) – As mentioned earlier, playing out of the rough at Torrey Pines is NOT ideal. However, there is few better on Tour out of the rough than Sahith. The idea this week will be to keep it out of the rough, but Theegala usually has his own way of doing things.
Top 20 Finishes
Si Woo Kim (+185) – Coming off a win in Hawaii and a T22 at American Express, confidence shouldn’t be an issue for Si Woo this week. Need a good opening round & then it should be smooth sailing to a Top 20 finish from there.
Rickie Fowler (+270) – After a T6 and T2 during the fall swing, Fowler played solid last week despite taking a couple months off. Shook the rust off at Amex and still made the cut. I’m confident we’ll see the Fowler we saw during the fall swing.
Justin Lower (+550) – 8 events in the 22-23′ season, and he’s placed in the Top 20 in 3 of them. We’re profitable long term at this price.