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|8:15pm||DAL -2.5||45.5||TB +2.5|
(5) Dallas Cowboys @ (4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Super Wild Card Weekend wraps up this year with a Monday night matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. For the first time in his illustrious career, Tom Brady’s team had a losing record in the regular season, but much like seemingly every other season since the internet was invented, Brady still managed to lead his team to the playoffs.
Even as the visiting team, the Cowboys are the betting favorites (-2), but the line is tight and the Bucs are one week removed from their best offensive showing of the season.
Some are saying that Tom’s explosive, 3 TD showing in Week 17 was due to a new woman in his life. If so, good for him, I bet she has a great personality.
Whatever the case may be, there are few things more certain in life than Tom Brady turning it on come playoff time, which is bad news for the Boys.
Anyways, here are the facts that you should know about this matchup:
- The Bucs beat this Cowboys team 19-3 in Week 1, in Dallas.
- Dak Prescott has not been a good quarterback since returning from a thumb injury, as evidenced by the fact that he led the league in interceptions this year even though he missed 5 games.
- Dallas is 1-4 on grass fields this season, and Raymond James stadium is, in fact, au natural. This seems like an obscure stat, but it’s also something that shouldn’t be ignored, as they surrendered 10 more point per game on grass than turf this year.
- Tom Brady is 7-0 in his career against the Cowboys.
- Dallas has lost 8 straight road playoff games.
- Dallas’ 35 QB pressures were the most in the league this year.
Admittedly, that’s a lot to digest. What it boils down to for me is that the Bucs have the better QB and the recent playoff success in their corner, while the Cowboys have a playoff track record to over come, but also a dominant pass rush, which has been Brady’s one playoff kryptonite in years past.
Home field advantage means a lot in the playoffs, as does turnover differential. Add in the x-factor of having the most prolific post season QB in NFL history leading your offense, and in my opinion, you have to roll with Tampa and take the points on Monday night. In the battle of Tom vs. Time, old man Brady will continue to rewrite history this year.
PICKS: TB +2.5 & Over 45.5