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| TIME (EST) | FAVORITE | TOTAL | PICKS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00pm | BUF -14 | 44 | BUF -14 (-108) Over 44 (-144) |
(7) Miami Dolphins @ (2) Buffalo Bills
Game Preview:
The Buffalo Bills once again lock up the two seed in the AFC after winning another Division Championship. Today the 9-8 Miami Dolphins head to the 13-3 Buffalo Bills where these two teams split their home and home earlier in the year. The Dolphins are without their starting QB Tua Tagovailoa and he is still not cleared after suffering a concussion in Week 16. Instead, they will look to 3rd string QB Skylar Thompson. The Dolphins won in week 18 in a must-win situation without a single TD scored in that game.
The Bills are riding high into this playoff game as safety Damar Hamlin has returned home to Buffalo and is rumored to be at the game today after receiving CPR three weeks ago on the field. This Bills defense has suffered some key losses throughout the season however Josh Allen continues to be the chosen one for this offense. The Dolphins who are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games unfortunately don’t have that same success when it comes to the playoffs, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games. The over between these two teams is 11-5 in their last 16 meetings.
I don’t think the Miami Dolphins offense can keep up with what the Bills have in store for them. I do think this would be a much different game with Tua however Bills would still win no matter who was at QB. We are backing the Bills -14 and the Over in today’s matchup.
PICKS: BUF -14 & Over 44
PROPS:
Anytime TD – Gabriel Davis (BUF) – (+160)|
Jeff Wilson (MIA) Over 58.5 Rushing Yards – (-115)
Josh Allen (BUF) Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes Thrown – (-167)
