PGA Best Bets: 2023 Sony Open – Outright Winners & Finishing Positions

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    After an incredible start in Maui to the 2023 wrap around season, the Tour remains in Hawaii for the 2023 Sony Open. Heading to Honolulu to play the 7,044 yard par 70 track at Waialae Country Club, 2022 champ Hideki Matsuyama (+1600) will return to the field to defend his title. Other top contenders by listed odds are Tom Kim (+1100), Sungjae Im (+1300) and Jordan Spieth (+1500).

    Outright Winners

    Tom Kim (+1100) – The only reason to not like this pick is that it seems too obvious. In a weaker field than last week, Tom Kim is the favorite for a reason. The 20 year old has showed on multiple occasions that he isn’t just a young phenom on a fast start… he is one of the best players in the world. Secured a Top 5 finish in Maui. Should have no problem doing the same this week.

    Sungjae Im (+1300) – Because of how obvious and easy the Tom Kim play seems, this is actually my favorite outright on the board this week. Rarely ever do I have the two betting favorites, but it almost seems inevitable that this one comes down to the two friends, Tom and Sungjae, on Sunday. He finished the end of last year with 3 T2 finishes in 5 starts. In 2022-2023 season, he’s already racked up 2 Top 10’s. Finished T13 last week in Maui, which could have and should have been much higher. He’s due for a win and I think it comes this week.

    Tom Hoge (+2200)
    – 2023 very well could be the year of Tom Hoge. He was solid last year, but through 7 starts this season, he’s been nothing short of phenomenal. 2 Top 5’s, a Top 10 and a T12 already, Hoge looks ready to step back into the winners circle. Currently sits 1st on Tour in strokes gained approaching the green. Played excellent last week, and should have a ton of confidence. More value later on with Hoge as well.

    Cam Davis (+3000) – Cam Davis hasn’t done anything extraordinary this year, but his play from last season should still have him confident that he can win tournaments like this. The 27 year old fell just short of the Tour Championship in 2022. This is his first opportunity of the new year to make a push in the FedEx Cup rankings. Hasn’t won since 20-21 season.

    Finishing Positions

    Top 5 Finishes

    Tom Kim (+230) – Especially after we saw with Colin Morikawa this past weekend, we all know that the term “lock” doesn’t mean much in golf. However, this is a lock. Tom Kim is arguably the best player in the field and arguably the most in rhythm with his recent play. Too good of a price and too weak of a field. Max 3 unit play.

    Tom Hoge (+550) – I said there would be more value with Hoge. And we’re not done yet. He’s getting the Sahith Theegala treatment this week and getting trickled down the board. Too good of a price for a guy who can easily win this tournament.

    Top 10 Finishes

    K.H. Lee (+290) – I’m not sure K.H. Lee will ever win a tournament but he’s *hopefully* going to continue giving us great finishing position value for a long time. Lee finished solo 3rd in the strongest field of the fall at the CJ Cup in South Carolina. He’s also coming off a terrific week in Maui as well where he had a consistent 4 days to get him a T7 finish. In a field of this strength with the confidence K.H. should have, this is one of my favorite plays on the board.

    J.J. Spaun (+450) – Spaun is a guy who is no stranger to inconsistency in his past, but has been fairly consistent to start the 22-23 season. 3 Top 20’s and a T5 in Maui where he looked fantastic. The theme this week is clearly guys who have reasons to be confident due to recent play. Spaun fits right into the category.

    Top 20 Finishes

    Tom Hoge (+130) – Another max play. I’m just not buying an off week from Hoge.

    Justin Suh (+500) – The 25 year old rookie was a star in college, and after an adjustment period once turning pro in 2019, Suh has earned Tour status for 2022-2023. The results haven’t came yet, but there is no denying the talent. Seems like a perfect week for Suh to breakout and show what he is made of. 5-1 is a good price.

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