NHL Best Bets of the Day: Monday 1/9

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    Time (EST)GamePick
    7:00pmPhiladelphia Flyers @ Buffalo SabresO 6.5 (-120)
    Kevin Hayes PP Pt. (+280) (1/2 unit)
    7:30pmSeattle Kraken @ Montreal CanadiensO 6.5 (+100)
    10:30pmEdmonton Oilers @ Los Angeles KingsU 6.5 (-105)

    Happy New Year everyone! I’m going to have to ease back into this. I’ve struggled mightly picking winners this year, mainly because it’s more fun to pick underdogs, but none the less I’ve been wrong picking winners far too frequently. My Over Under Picks have been pretty solid this year (13-7, +4.5 units, 22.5% ROI), so I’m starting 2023 with one of my strengths. I’m not going to over analyze the games for you below. Basically, I’m taking a recent sample size of the two teams, and coming up with an expected goals total, looking at line-ups, starting goalies and trends and making a judgement based on that.

    Philadelphia Flyers @ Buffalo Sabres

    Over Under logic is the same as above, adding in a bonus wager at half a unit. Kevin Hayes getting health bombed will have him coming out on fire, +280 for 1 point on the power play feels too easy.

    PICK: Over 6.5 (-120), Kevin Hayes to record 1 Power Play Point (+280)

    Seattle Kraken @ Montreal Canadiens
    Seattle has been shooting the lights out lately, expect that trend to continue against a Montreal team that can’t keep anything out of the net. Love the value here. Take it while you can get it.

    PICK: Over 6.5 (+100)

    Edmonton Oilers @ Los Angeles Kings
    Shocked that the numbers are pointing towards the under on this one. LA has been stingy, and Edmonton has turned a corner defensively over the last month and half. The under it is …

    PICK: Under 6.5 (-105)

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