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| GAME | TIME (EST) | FAVORITE | TOTAL | PICKS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEN @ PHI | 1:00pm | PHI -9 | 45.5 | TEN +9 u45.5 |
| PIT @ ATL | 1:00pm | PIT -3 | 40 | BAL -3.5 o43 |
| JAX @ DET | 1:00pm | DET -5.5 | 55.5 | DET -5.5 o55.5 |
Tennessee Titans (7-4) @ Philadelphia Eagles (10-1)
Injury Watch (Impact Players)
Out: TE Dallas Goedert (PHI)
Game Preview: After suffering their first loss of the season three weeks ago, the Eagles have bounced back for consecutive wins against the Colts and Packers. The visiting Tennessee Titans represent a more formidable opponent than either of the last two teams that Philly has played. The Eagles pass defense has been stingy this year, holding opposing QBs to a 13:15 TD to INT ratio while clearly excelling at creating turnovers to get the ball back in the hands of their explosive offense. The Titans boast the 3rd ranked rushing defense by yards surrendered, so the Eagles offensive focus will have to be more reliant on the passing game than in some weeks, but there are reasons to be optimistic after hearing that if you’re an Eagles fan. Besides the fact that Jalen Hurts has matured this year, this is a revenge game for the newly acquired A.J. Brown, as he goes up against his former team, who declined to give him the contract extension he sought and instead traded him to the Eagles on draft day this year. Given the home field advantage and their general lack of weaknesses, I would envision the Eagles getting out to an early lead and taking Derek Henry out of the game for the Titans. That said, even thought I would pick the Eagles straight up, I don’t like the 9 point spread based on their margin of victory in past games this year, so I’m taking the Titans at +9.
PICKS: TEN +9 & u45.5
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) @ Atlanta Falcons (5-7)
Game Preview: You know who is quietly starting look like a decent QB? Kenny “small hands” Pickett. Over the last 4 weeks, he’s stopped turning the ball over (1 INT in those 4 games) while also starting to show off his ability to scramble and make plays with his legs, averaging 33.5 yards/game over that span. Atlanta is currently allowing the most yards per game to opposing QBs while also allowing them to complete passes at an All-Pro clip of 68.1%. This should end up a winnable matchup for Pittsburgh, especially with Najee Harris getting cleared to play this morning. I’m taking the favorites here, even on the road, and playing the over for this dome game in Atlanta.
PICKS: PIT -3 & o40
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) @ Detroit Lions (4-7)
Game Preview: Jacksonville is coming off of a statement win against the Baltimore Ravens last week. While their talented young offense is rounding into shape nicely, what worries me about them this week is their defense, which has surrounded an average of 25.3 points per game the last 6 weeks. Detroit is literally middle of the pack (#15) in offensive passing yards this season, but this is an offense that can take advantage of what the defense gives them. Jared Goff is quietly putting together a very respectable season in Detroit (93.5 Passer Rating, 17 TDs) and he has his full stable of offensive playmakers healthy this week as well. I see this game being a slugfest, but one that the home team ultimately pulls out. Dial up DET at -5.5 favorites and hit the over while you’re at it.
PICKS: DET -5.5 & o55.5
