Early Slate AFC vs. NFC Best Bets: NFL Week 10

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    DET @ CHI1:00pmCHI -348.5CHI -3
    MIN @ BUF1:00pmBUF -6.546.5MIN +6.5

    Detroit Lions (2-6) @ Chicago Bears (3-6)
    Injury Watch (Impact Players)
    Out: WR Josh Reynolds (DET)

    Game Preview: Coming off of the most prolific running game for a quarterback in NFL history, Justin Fields certainly looks like he’s turned a corner. The Lions, meanwhile have played solid football the past two weeks, going 1-1 against the Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers. The tough part about matchups like this one is that these are two very flawed teams, and it’s a lot harder to predict what might happen with any accuracy when both teams are entirely capable of finding new and inventive ways to lose.

    The weather in Chicago looks to be frigid, with temperatures hovering in the 30’s with a 10 MPH wind adding a little extra chill to the air. Cold weather football is usually an advantage for the team that runs the ball more effectively, and Chicago’s combo of Fields, Montgomery and Herbert coming out of the backfield gives them a clear leg up over Detroit. If the weather neutralizes some of the struggles that both of these teams’ defenses have had stopping opposing quarterbacks, we should be in for a low scoring, ground and pound kind of game. I see the Bears covering while the two teams combine to fall short of the 48.5 points Vegas set for the line on total points.

    PICKS: CHI -3 & u48.5

    Minnesota Vikings (7-1) @ Buffalo Bills (6-2)
    Injury Watch (Impact Players)
    Questionable: QB Josh Allen (BUF)
    Out: S Jordan Poyer (BUF), DE Greg Rousseau (BUF)

    Game Preview: All eyes are on Josh Allen’s right elbow coming into this Week 10 matchup in Buffalo. Based on their combined records, these are two of the top teams in the NFL, but questions remain about both. The underlying metrics don’t support the Vikings current standing, while the Bills just lost to the division rival Jets, and will look like a completely different team with either a banged up Josh Allen or Case Keenum at QB.

    At some point this season, the Vikings should slow down, but I don’t think it happens this week. In addition to Josh Allen’s injury, the Bills are also missing playmakers on the defensive side of the ball. Some weeks, you can make up for those absences with depth players stepping up. Other weeks, you line up across from Justin Jefferson, Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen, T.J. Hockinson and Irv Smith. Look for the Vikings to keep the good times rolling this week, taking advantage of a banged up Bills team to steal one on the road. The Bills should put up a fight, and hopefully that means we’re in for an exciting, high-scoring afternoon in Buffalo.

    PICKS: MIN +6.5 & o46.5

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