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|8:20pm||KC -13.5 (-110)||45.5 (-110)||TEN +13.5 (-110)|
Tennessee Titans (5-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)
Key Injury Watch:
TEN- OUT – (QB) Ryan Tannehill
A couple of 5-2 AFC teams clash tonight, but Vegas has this as a 2 TD difference, with the Chiefs as heavy favorites at home.
The Chiefs are coming out of their Week 8 bye after beating the Niners, while the Titans are the huge underdog tonight, despite being on a 5-game winning streak.
The offensive recipes are quite different for these 2 squads, with the Chiefs featuring a heavy aerial assault, and the Titans being all ground and pound. Derrick Henry shouldered 32 carries last week finishing with 219 yards and 2 scores.
The Titans have been stingy against the run, allowing just 89 YPG, 2nd-fewest in the NFL. If they can force some early 3 and outs and control the clock with the run game, the cover is certainly in play.
Rookie Malik Willis will be under center for the Titans, but they asked very little of him last week with just 10 pass attempts in his debut. The key matchup tonight will be King Henry versus another stout Chiefs run defense which is limiting opponents to 92 YPG.
I’m projecting a gameflow here that would favor the under, and while I expect the Chiefs to win, I think the Titans can keep it competitive.
PICKS: TEN +13.5 & U45.5
-Derrick Henry (TEN) – Over 92.5 Rushing Yards (-126)
-Travis Kelce (KC) – Over 6.5 Receptions (-115)