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The PGA Tour returns to El Camaleon Golf Course at Mayakoba in Riviera Maya, Mexico for the 2022 World Wide Technology Championship. Viktor Hovland will look to pull of an incredible feat, winning the tournament for three consecutive years, after defending his title last year. It will be a shootout in Mexico this week… as the golf course plays at an average winning score of 20 under since 2013. Joining Viktor Hovland (+1000) in this weeks field, other top contenders by listed odds are Scottie Scheffler (+800), Colin Morikowa (+1500), Tony Finau (+1600) and Billy Horschel (+1600).
Outright Winners
Viktor Hovland (+1000) – The past success here in Mexico is obvious, but Hovland is also playing solid golf and looking to get back to the Hovland of late 2021 and early 2022, which included a win in Mexico. Through two starts, Hovland secured a Top 5 finish in Japan at the ZOZO Championship and barely missed a Top 20 finish at the stacked field of the CJ Cup.
Tony Finau (+1600) – The world was waiting on the emergence of Finau, which came at the final stretch of last season with his back-to-back tour victories. With his putting coming together, and El Camaleon being an absolute birdie fest, Finau is my favorite outright play this week. The course doesn’t play long for these guys at just over 7,000 yards, so Finau will get plenty of looks from in close.
Sepp Straka (+6500) – I’ve been on the record for months that Straka has been consistently mispriced by the books. At times, he makes me look like a genius. But others… not so much. In a field that is top heavy and falls off after the 20-1 range, this is another example of Straka being mispriced. More value on him in finishing positions, but for the price it’s worth an outright ticket.
Davis Riley (+7500) – Speaking of mispriced… wow. Yeah, I know, highly unlikely Riley walks away with his first tour victory in a field with multiple Top 20 players. But 75-1 is good value, and similar to Straka, worth an outright ticket. Riley had 6 Top 10 finishes in his rookie campaign last year and a handful of Top 5 finishes. Despite the slow start in the 22-23 wraparound, there’s value on him all the way down the board.
Finishing Positions
Top 5 Finishes
Tony Finau (+370) – As stated above, Finau is my favorite outright ticket this week. In case he can’t fend off the likes of Scottie Scheffler or back-to-back champion Viktor Hovland, take a Top 5 security ticket as well.
K.H. Lee (+950) – After two disappointing starts to begin his season, Lee was spectacular in South Carolina at the CJ Cup. In easily the strongest field of the fall, the 31 year old Korean finished solo 3rd. His consistency is his biggest flaw, but if he brings his best stuff, 9.5 to win could cash here.
Top 10 Finishes
Brendon Todd (+420) – If history does repeat itself, our odds here are spectacular. After winning the event in 2019, Todd followed that up with a T8 finish in 2020 and T11 finish in 2021. The prior success here in a weaker field than normal makes me love the price at +420.
Sepp Straka (+700) – In a much weaker field in Mississippi several weeks ago, Straka finished solo 2nd behind Mackenzie Hughes. We already touched on the lack of respect from the books with Straka, but you’ll continue to hear about it from me. His time is limited getting mispriced, especially if he can learn to be consistent. He secured a win, 3 Top 5 finishes & a T9 finish at The Players in 2021-2022. I’m taking full advantage of of the value on Straka until it’s gone.
Davis Riley (+700) – One of the two, between Riley and Straka, will finish in the Top 10. I’d be willing to go on record and say it’s a guarantee. Riley was apart of a stacked rookie class last season. He’s close to taking a leap to the next level. Who’s to say that doesn’t start this week in Mexico?
Top 20 Finishes
Seamus Power (+190) – Coming off his victory last week, Seamus should have all the confidence necessary to slide into the Top 20 by Sunday in a top heavy field. This would be my max play this week if the greatest bet of all time wasn’t listed below.
Tom Hoge (+125) – Hoge has been wildly consistent to start the 2021-2022 season. With 4 starts, his worst finish is T13. As you could have guessed, that was at the CJ Cup – the strongest field of the fall. Max play – 3 units.
