Commanders @ Bears: NFL Week 6 (TNF)

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    8:15pmPK (-110)38 (-110)CHI PK (-110)
    U38 (-110)

    Game Analysis & Picks
    The (1-4) Commanders have dropped 4-straight since beating the Jaguars in the home opener, yet the pick’em line suggests they’d be a 3-point favorite on neutral ground.

    That’s how little confidence the public has in the (2-3) Bears, despite coming off Justin Fields’ most effective game of the season, with a QB rating of 118.7. Fields will look to build on this success back at Soldier Field, where the Bears are 2-0 on the season.

    Both defenses are middle of the road in terms of overall YPG allowed, although the Bears have been gouged on the ground allowing 170 YPG, which is tied for worst in the NFL. This trend favors a big day for Brian Robinson, who should see an uptick of work, after playing 29% of snaps in his NFL debut on Sunday.

    The Commanders will be without rookie standout Jahan Dotson and veteran Logan Thomas tonight, and will likely lean more on the run game. The Bears also project to be run heavy with Fields, David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert all getting some burn, which should really shorten the game and line up the Under (38). I also like the Bears to stay perfect at home in front of a raucous crowd and snag the win on TNF.

    Bonus Props
    – Justin Fields (CHI) – Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
    – Brian Robinson (WAS) – Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

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