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|1:00pm||LAC -2 (-110)||46.5(-110)||CLE +2|
Game Analysis & Picks
This is going to be an interesting tilt between the Chargers and the Browns. Chargers still have Herbert banged up with soreness in his ribs and it’s been showing with his cautious play. He knows if he takes another big shot to the midsection it could lead to some bigger problems later in the season. Browns are coming in hot with Myles Garrett back in the mix and Nick Chubb pounding the ball down the field. Last year the Chargers allowed 138.9 rushing yards per game. This year they tightened up averaging 110 per game, but over the last 3 games they’ve allowed 125 rushing yards each, and with Joey Bosa out we can see something of that magnitude on Sunday.
Browns secondary will need to stay on top of their game, as they’re known to breakdown in the fourth quarter. They have a great rush defense so Herbert needs to attempt to sling it down field often during this game. Austin Ekeler had a huge game last week throwing up 3 touchdowns but I think the only shot he puts up some numbers is if we see a DPI in the endzone that puts the Chargers on the 1 yard line.
Since 2020 the Browns are 12-3 after a loss and since 2021 the Chargers are 3-7 after a win. This is a perfect storm for the Browns to cover and possibly even win this game. The line has shifted from +3 to +2 over the last couple of days, I like buying the Browns down to +3 or taking them Moneyline at +105 and over 46.5.