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|1:00pm||MIN -7.5 (-109)||44.0 (-110)||MIN -7.5 (-109)|
Game Analysis & Picks
This is an NFC North matchup between the #3 Bears (2-2) and #1 Vikings (3-1), with each team only having 1 win against the spread so far this season. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has converted on 63% of his passes and WR Justin Jefferson has racked up 393 yards with 2 TDs on 42 targets. But the Vikings will have an opportunity to score points on the ground this week against the NFL’s worst run defense.
The Chicago defense is on track for an historic low allowing 183 rushing yards per game. Their poor tackling shined against the Giants last week, allowing Saquon Barkley to gain 145 yards (94 of those yards earned after first contact). Against the pass Bears CB Jaylon Johnson is currently questionable for Sunday, potentially leaving some wiggle room for solid Vikings receiving corps.
The Vikings defense has allowed opponents to complete on 75% of their passes, which is the 2nd highest rate in the league. However, Chicago’s receiving corps is lacking. The Bears top 6 receivers combine for 389 yards which is still 4 yards short of Minnesota’s Jefferson.
It’s a safe bet to assume the Vikings pass defense will have some chances to turn things around this week. I think the Bears will struggle at US Bank Stadium, so I’ll take the Vikings -7.5 here. I don’t see the Bears carrying their end of the deal so I’m sticking with the Under 44.
– Dalvin Cook (MIN) – Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (-115)