MLB Best Bets & Parlay of the Day: Monday, 10/3

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    Time (EST)GameStartersPick
    6:40pmAtlanta Braves @ Miami MarlinsElder (ATL)
    Luzardo (MIA)
    ATL F5 3-way (+102)
    7:05pmNew York Yankees @ Texas RangersSeverino (NYY)
    Perez (TEX)
    NYY F5 3-way (-106)
    7:40pmArizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee BrewersHenry (ARI)
    Woodruff (MIL)
    MIL -1.5 (-117)
    8:10pmPhiladelphia Phillies @ Houston AstrosNola (PHI)
    McCullers (HOU)
    HOU ML (-117)

    Atlanta Braves (Elder) @ Miami Marlins (Luzardo)
    ATL F5 3-way (+102)
    – The Braves are coming off a big sweep of the Mets to basically lock up the NL East and home field for their first series. Braves starter tonight Bryce Elder has allowed only 2 earned runs in his last 27 innings on the mound. Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo was once one of the highly regarded pitching prospects in all of baseball so he is probably the only reason these lines are somewhat close. Luzardo has the ability to come out and shut down any offense but the Braves have been hot lately. The Braves are favored overall tonight ~155 ML but I’m targeting the first 5 innings here for the better value and backing Elder and the Braves and going with ATL F5 3-way +102.

    New York Yankees (Severino) @ Texas Rangers (Perez)
    NYY F5 3-way (-106)
    Rangers starter Martin Perez has put together a very impressive season this year in an era where seemingly every pitcher is lighting up the radar gun. Perez’s fastball has averaged 92.9 MPH this year but he has turned that into a 2.93 ERA over 190 innings. Tonight he is up against Luis Severino who has the fortune of being on the better team along with being very talented in his own right. This stat usually needs to be taken with a grain of salt due to small sample size but in 138 plate appearances, this group of Yankees hitters collectively has a .306 batting average against Perez. Also, over the last 30 days the Yankees have a 120 wRC+ compared to 85 for the Rangers. Tonight I’m going with the Yankees to be winning after 5 and taking NYY F5 3-way (-106).

    MLB Parlay of the Day (+628)

    Time (EST)GamePick
    6:40pmAtlanta Braves @ Miami MarlinsATL F5 3-way (+102)
    7:05pmNew York Yankees @ Texas RangersNYY F5 3-way (-106)
    8:10pmPhiladelphia Phillies @ Houston AstrosHOU ML (-117)

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