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After a fun and competitive week at Quail Hollow for the Presidents Cup, the PGA Tour returns to Jackson, Mississippi at the Country Club of Jackson for the 2022 Sanderson Farms Championship. A consistent theme with the fall turn, we have a relatively weak field, but still some fun golfers & good value available. 2021 Champion Sam Burns returns to the field to defend his title after his contribution to the United States victory for the Presidents Cup. Burns currently sits at +1000 to defend. Other top contenders by listed odds include Sahith Theegala (+1800), Russel Henley (+1900) and Denny McCarthy (+2400).
Outright Winners
Sam Burns (+1000) – Burns will certainly be a popular pick in Jackson this week, and for good reason. He’s the best player in the field by a significant margin, and the price doesn’t really show that. For example, Rory is +380 on the DPWT this week, with the likes of Fitzy, Lowry, Horshcel etc. in the field. Burns is in a good spot to defend his trophy at way too good of a price to ignore.
Sahith Theegala (+1800) – Some things change, but most things stay the same. Yes. That is the same intro sentence I used for Sahith 2 weeks ago at Fortinet. I’m riding until the wheels fall off with Theegs. That said, Country Club of Jackson does fit his game well. He secured a Top 10 finish here in 2021, and that was before he gathered all the confidence he did in his rookie campaign. If he can keep the ball in the fairway, his iron play will have him in contention on Sunday.
Harris English (+4500) – There is going to be good value for Harris until he wins again, which might happen this week.. if not, it’ll be sooner than later. He had a strong 2020 season and sort of “burst onto the scene” with a few victories and solid year-long play. After some health and injury issues, English seems to be reestablishing his form. Secured a Top 10 finish in Napa two weeks ago, and is looking to build off that for a strong 22′ start.
Finishing Positions
Top 5 Finishes
Scott Stallings (+650) – A comeback season that was very impressive, Stallings finished strong with a runner-up finish at BMW and finishing the season 23rd on the official money list. After completely reforming his body & ultimately his golf game, Stallings is looking to build on last year’s momentum and make another run at East Lake. He can be shaky off the tee, which he’ll have to avoid in order to play well in Jackson. Another guy who can go on a scoring rampage if he is finding fairways.
Justin Suh (+1200) – The Korn Ferry breakout & now 25 year old PGA Tour rookie Justin Suh is bound to make some noise this season. Deflated field is the perfect time for a rookie to breakout and secure a Top 5 finish.
Top 10 Finishes
Sahith Theegala (+205) – We should all be pretty familiar with the fact I will be taking Sahith outright & Top 10 bets week in & week out. The time is coming. Again — finished in the Top 10 last year with a stronger field & less experience.
Harris English (+500) – Another outright pick in our Top 10 bet slip, getting this price on English for a Top 10 finish in a field of this caliber is INSANITY. Too much talent & experience for a 5-1 price.
Sepp Straka (+500) – I was definitely under the assumption that we would have adjusted value for Straka after his post-season performance last year. His inconsistency is pretty glaring, but he can compete with the best. It takes 2 days of REALLY good golf, and another 2 days of eliminating mistakes to secure a Top 10 finish in a tournament like this. Won at PGA National last season on the fall turn.
Top 20 Finishes
Trey Mullinax (+200) – Trey was our 3 unit max play 2 weeks ago in Napa, and it didn’t treat us so well as he missed the cut. Country Club of Jackson fits his game a bit better than Napa did, and he’s got familiarity here as well. Finished T4 in 2021. Back to 3 unit play with Trey Top 20.
