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|TOP BET TODAY|
|7:07pm||New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays||Severino (NYY)|
|Runs Over 7.5 (-104)|
New York Yankees (Severino) @ Toronto Blue Jays (Gausman)
Runs Over 7.5 (-104) – Tough to pick a winner in this one but this over seems achievable. Both pitchers are talented with good stuff but both of these offenses are hot and each pitcher has had some rocky outings lately. If we look at the last 30 days, both teams have top 6 offenses in baseball with Toronto 2nd with a 118 wRC+ and the Yankees at 6th with a 114 wRC+. The Blue Jays saw Severino earlier this season and scored 5 ER in 5 innings off him. Gausman was at his best in April (2.19 ERA) and May (2.72 ERA) of this year and has surrendered 12 ER in 25 innings so far in September. Both of these lineups have some serious power hitters and the Rogers Centre is ranked 7th in 2022 for ESPN HR Park Factor and has been in the top 10 most recent years including 1st in 2020 and 2nd in 2019. Despite two quality pitchers tonight, I’m taking the over 7.5 runs bet at -104.