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|1:00pm||KC -5.5 (-110)||50.5 (-110)||KC -5.5 (-110)|
Game Analysis & Picks
The Colts enter Week 3 looking like one of the league’s worst teams with an underwhelming 20-20 tie against the Texans and an embarrassing 24-0 loss last week against the Jaguars. I believe Indianapolis is not as bad as they have played in the last 2 weeks, will be playing their first home game, and should have top wideout Michael Pittman returning from injury. However, their offense has done absolutely nothing in 7 out of 8 quarters so it’s doubtful we are going to see an explosive offense.
The Chiefs have played well in their first 2 games and will take advantage of the extra rest after playing TNF in Week 2. There’s definitely room for improvement on both sides of the ball, but trends are very encouraging for Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes has 48 touchdowns and 3 interceptions in the month of September throughout his career, and coach Andy Reid has won 9 straight regular season games when his team has extended rest.
The most likely outcome will be the Chiefs jump out to an early lead behind Mahomes, forcing the Colts to abandon the run game and Matt Ryan will rack up the passing attempts and get some points in the 2nd half. I love the Chiefs having less than a touchdown advantage in the spread (-5.5) and the Over (50.5) as the Chiefs should reach 30+ points and the Colts will likely be playing from behind for most of the game.
-Patrick Mahomes (KC) – Under 0.5 Interceptions (-135)
-Jonathan Taylor (IND) – Under 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115)