MLB Best Bets & Parlay of the Day: Monday, 8/15

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    Time (EST)GameStartersPick
    6:40pmDetroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Game 2Garcia (DET)
    Curry (CLE)
    SFAW CLE (+130)
    6:40pmSan Diego Padres @ Miami MarlinsMusgrove (SD)
    Alcantara (MIA)
    MIA ML (+125)
    MIA F5 3-way (+145)
    7:05pmChicago Cubs @ Washington NationalsStroman (CHC)
    Gray (WSH)
    WSH F5 3-way (+160)
    WSH ML (+118)
    7:05pmTampa Bay Rays @ New York YankeesBeeks (TB)
    Cole (NYY)
    NYY -1.5 (-114)
    7:07pmBaltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue JaysBradish (BAL)
    Kikuchi (TOR)
    Runs Over 9 (-108)
    7:20pmNew York Mets @ Atlanta BravesCarrasco (NYM)
    Strider (ATL)
    NYM ML (+135)

    Detroit Tigers (Garcia) @ Cleveland Guardians (Curry) Game 2
    CLE SFAW (+130)-
    The doubleheader today required both teams to bring up a player from AAA to make a spot start. The Tigers went with Bryan Garcia who has MLB experience going back to 2019 but primarily as a reliever. In his last two starts he went 3.2 and 4 innings so they seem to be converting him to a starter. Garcia has a 5.73 ERA, 5.76 FIP, an alarming 5.73 BB/9 and 6.81 K/9 over 75 big league innings primarily in relief so you would expect the stuff to play down a tick as a starter. He also had 6 walks over 4 innings in his last outing but somehow gave up 0 runs, that seems difficult to repeat. Cleveland has prospect Xzavion Curry making his debut tonight after being their 7th round pick in 2019 out of Georgia Tech. The Guardians have a good track record of developing pitching so it will be interesting to see how he does in his debut. The Guards? Guard Rails? (worst team name in the league) are heavy favorites tonight at -205 ML but I’m going to take the value of the score first and win bet at +130 for the Guard Dogs to score first and win behind Curry.

    San Diego Padres (Musgrove) @ Miami Marlins (Alcantara)
    MIA ML (+125) / MIA F5 3-way (+145) –
    The Padres are favored tonight at -148 ML but my bets are just rolling with Sandy Alcantara and the historic season he is having. He is putting up some video game numbers so far this year including a MLB leading 166 IP over 23 starts which comes out to an average of pitching into the 8th inning over every start. That also includes a 2.01 ERA which is 3rd in the MLB behind Justin Verlander and Dylan Cease. Joe Musgrove has been good this year as well with a 2.91 ERA over 127 innings but I like the value of going with Alcantara tonight, assuming he pitches most of the game. Tonight I’m going with the Marlins to pull the upset over the Padres and going with MIA ML at +120 and MIA F5 3-way at +145.

    Chicago Cubs (Stroman) @ Washington Nationals (Gray)
    WSH F5 3-way (+160) / WSH ML (+118)-
    Tonight we have a toilet bowl of sorts between the Cubs who are 15.5 games out of first place and the Nationals who are a staggering 37.5 games out of first and are officially the worst team in baseball with a .328 winning percentage. This matchup is also interesting because it is a rematch of their game last week on 8/9. Stroman gave up 4 ER and 2 home runs over 5 innings and Gray gave up 2 ER over 6.1 innings. The Cubbies are favored tonight at -137 ML because the Nationals are terrible after trading Soto but I am taking the value and going with the Nats and expecting this matchup to repeat itself and for Gray to be the better performing starting pitcher for the first 5 at +160 odds and ML +118.

    MLB Parlay of the Day (+1365)

    Time (EST)GamePick
    6:40pmDetroit Tigers @ Cleveland GuardiansSFAW CLE (+130)
    6:40pmSan Diego Padres @ Miami MarlinsMIA F5 3-way (+145)
    7:05pmChicago Cubs @ Washington NationalsWSH F5 3-way (+160)

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