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Approaching the FedEx Cup Playoffs, the PGA Tour returns to Detroit Golf Club for the 4th annual Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit, Michigan. The venue consists of two 18 hole golf courses, in which this week’s PGA Tour setup will consist of 17 holes from the North Course & only 1 from the South Course. It’s going to present opportunities for players to score, and punish them when they do not capitalize. Cam Davis, the defending champion, returns to this year’s field. The top contenders by listed odds are Patrick Cantlay (+1000), Tony Finau (+1300), Will Zalatoris (+1400) and Cameron Young (+1600).
Outright Winners
Favorite
Tony Finau (+1300)
– Coming off the win last week in Minnesota, Finau should have all the confidence he needs to take care of business this week. He was finally able to get the putter going, and thanks to Scott Piercy, he got a trophy to show for it. The Finau breakout is going to come, similar to what we saw with Scottie Scheffler early on this season and Xander Schauffele in recent weeks. No better time for that to happen than right before the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Next Up
Kevin Kisner (+3700)
– The 27th ranked golfer in the world absolutely flourishes at Detroit Golf Club. Kisner is 3-for-3 on cuts made here, including a 3rd place finish in 2020 and a T8 finish last year. He’s put together some performances of late too, with a T6 finish at Travelers and missing a Top 20 finish at The Open by one stroke. As mentioned in the intro, Detroit Golf Club is going to present scoring opportunities for these guys. Kisner isn’t known as an elite ball striker on tour, but combine his familiarity here with his on & around the greens ability and Kis might cash 37-1. Not the last time we will see him on this week’s bet slip.
Value Picks
Luke List (+8000)
– This very well could be the week that Luke List enters the winner circle for the 2nd time in his career since turning pro in 2007. His other win came earlier this season in the Farmers Insurance Open. For a course that presents scoring opportunities if guys can be precise on their approach, List might have the most value on the board. Top 10 in strokes gained off-the-tee and tee-to-green while also sitting at 17th in strokes gained approaching the green. Coming off two missed cuts, look for Luke List to bounce back strong and be in the hunt on Sunday.
Finishing Positions
Top 5
Patrick Cantlay (+240)
– In the chance that Cantlay runs away with this tournament by 7 strokes, I refuse to not have him somewhere on my bet slip. Not enough outright value for me at 10-1 but if he is on his game, he is head and shoulders the best player in the field.
Chesson Hadley (+1700)
– No “Long Shot” pick for outright winners this week, so why not take one here? Hadley is on the outside looking in on the FedEx Cup Standings, currently at 130. With the top 125 players getting an opportunity in the post-season, Hadley has been on a roll to try and secure his spot. 3 Top 10’s in his last 5 starts that includes a 5th place finish… this is great value.
Top 10
Kevin Kisner (+370)
– He did it in back-to-back years at this tournament. Why not go for a 3rd?
Luke List (+700)
– I’m not going to watch my 80-1 outright pick fall apart on Sunday with a 2 stroke lead. I’ll take my security blanket on List for Top 10 at 7-1 all day.
Top 20
Max Homa (+125)
– Easily the safest bet on my card this week. Homa to finish in the Top 20 is a 3 unit play. He has emerged as one of the best players on tour this year, and has certainly been very consistent. Last time we saw him, he had to deal with the pressure and emotions of being paired with Tiger Woods in what was likely his last appearance at St. Andrews. Homa should have zero issues securing a Top 20 finish with this field.
Sahith Theegala (+175)
– It’s not a Wednesday if I’m not betting on Sahith Theegala in some shape or form. He’s a guy who could be staring at a missed cut and easily make it inside the Top 20. As we all know, he gets up for the biggest tournaments. This is far from that, so Top 20 is the safest play for Sahith.
